Match

PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maguwoharjo, Yogyakarta

PSS SlemanPSM Makassar

The Footlab model makes PSS Sleman the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate PSS Sleman (1,764) and PSM Makassar (1,685).

PSS Sleman win53 %
Draw25 %
PSM Makassar win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSS Sleman have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; PSM Makassar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PSS Sleman
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Garudayaksa(home)2-2Liga 2
May 3, 2026PSIS Semarang(home)3-0Liga 2
Apr 26, 2026Persiba Balikpapan(away)1-1Liga 2
Apr 20, 2026Persiku Kudus(home)2-1Liga 2
Apr 11, 2026Barito Putera(away)0-1Liga 2
PSM Makassar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(away)0-2Liga 1
May 17, 2026Persib Bandung(home)1-2Liga 1
May 9, 2026Arema FC(away)0-3Liga 1
May 4, 2026Bhayangkara FC(home)2-1Liga 1
Apr 27, 2026Bali United(away)0-2Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PSS Sleman win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 PSM Makassar win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2025PSS Sleman 3-1 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Dec 13, 2024PSM Makassar 1-1 PSS SlemanLiga 1
Mar 8, 2024PSM Makassar 2-1 PSS SlemanLiga 1
Sep 3, 2023PSS Sleman 1-1 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Jan 14, 2023PSM Makassar 4-0 PSS SlemanLiga 1
Jul 23, 2022PSS Sleman 1-2 PSM MakassarLiga 1

Last archived meeting: PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar on May 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

PSS Sleman score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PSS Sleman1.80.859/157/15
PSM Makassar1.21.9010/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15PSM Makassar3481016394934

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
The Footlab model makes PSS Sleman the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for PSM Makassar.
Where and when is PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar played?
PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maguwoharjo, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: PSS Sleman and PSM Makassar

Ready to know everything about football?