Where and when is Arema FC vs PSM Makassar played?

Arema FC vs PSM Makassar is played on February 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arema FC vs PSM Makassar: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 20Kick-off on February 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FC

PSM Makassar

The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and PSM Makassar (1,685).

Arema FC win53 %

Draw24 %

PSM Makassar win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PSM Makassar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 6, 2026	Persija(away)	1-3	Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026	Persebaya Surabaya(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026	DPMM FC Brunei(home)	2-0	Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026	Tampines Rovers(away)	2-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026	Persib Bandung(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden

PSM Makassar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Persepam Madura Utd(away)	0-2	Liga 1
May 17, 2026	Persib Bandung(home)	1-2	Liga 1
May 9, 2026	Arema FC(away)	0-3	Liga 1
May 4, 2026	Bhayangkara FC(home)	2-1	Liga 1
Apr 27, 2026	Bali United(away)	0-2	Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 PSM Makassar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Arema FC 3-0 PSM Makassar	Liga 1
Oct 19, 2025	PSM Makassar 1-2 Arema FC	Liga 1
Feb 10, 2025	Arema FC 1-1 PSM Makassar	Liga 1
Sep 15, 2024	PSM Makassar 0-1 Arema FC	Liga 1
Apr 25, 2024	Arema FC 3-2 PSM Makassar	Liga 1
Oct 20, 2023	PSM Makassar 3-0 Arema FC	Liga 1

Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs PSM Makassar on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arema FC	1.5	1.3	5	7/15	8/15
PSM Makassar	1.2	1.9	0	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and PSM Makassar sit 15th (34 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Arema FC	34	13	9	12	53	47	48
15	PSM Makassar	34	8	10	16	39	49	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?: The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for PSM Makassar.
Where and when is Arema FC vs PSM Makassar played?: Arema FC vs PSM Makassar is played on February 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.