Match

PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United: prediction and stats

Liga 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Baharuddin Siregar, Lubuk Pakam, Deli Serdang

PSMS MedanSumsel United

The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Sumsel United. The most likely score is 1-1. If PSMS Medan wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,900 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United?

On Elo ratings, PSMS Medan has 1,719 points and Sumsel United 1,682.

58%23%19%
PSMS Medan winDrawSumsel United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

PSMS Medan

4-2-3-1
  1. 7I. Jauhari
  1. 19P. Putra
  2. 14R. Utama
  3. 15M. Rangga
  4. 96A. Hutagalung
  5. 69M. Lestusen
  1. 3Ângelo
  2. 5B. Arrahim
  3. 26R. Nurviat
  4. 2R. Utina
  1. 65R. Nurdin

Sumsel United

4-3-3
  1. 22T. Darmawan
  2. 9Juninho
  3. 99R. Hidayat
  1. 16C. Bhagascara
  2. 6T. Pangestu
  3. 10Felipe Ryan
  1. 28A. Satria
  2. 4R. Akbar
  3. 34F. Damara
  4. 25F. Sokoy
  1. 81R. Ramadhan

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSMS Medan have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sumsel United have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PSMS Medan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Semen Padang(away)1-1Liga 2
Oct 11, 2026PSPS(away)1-2Liga 2
Oct 3, 2026Persikad Depok FC(home)4-0Liga 2
Sep 27, 2026Bekasi City(away)1-0Liga 2
Sep 20, 2026Persiku Kudus(home)6-0Liga 2
Sumsel United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Persikad Depok FC(home)2-1Liga 2
Oct 10, 2026Persiku Kudus(home)5-1Liga 2
Oct 2, 2026Persiraja Banda Aceh(away)2-1Liga 2
Sep 26, 2026PSPS(home)1-2Liga 2
Sep 19, 2026PSGC Ciamis(away)0-2Liga 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 PSMS Medan wins, 1 draw, 1 Sumsel United win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Sumsel United 2-2 PSMS MedanLiga 2
Feb 14, 2026PSMS Medan 3-1 Sumsel UnitedLiga 2
Nov 24, 2025Sumsel United 2-1 PSMS MedanLiga 2
Sep 28, 2025PSMS Medan 2-0 Sumsel UnitedLiga 2

Last archived meeting: Sumsel United vs PSMS Medan on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

PSMS Medan score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sumsel United score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PSMS Medan1.51.248/156/15
Sumsel United1.61.5210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

PSMS Medan sit 7th in Liga 2 (36 points from 27 matches) and Sumsel United sit 4th (42 points from 27 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Sumsel United271269403342
7PSMS Medan27999333136

A question about PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United?
The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Sumsel United.
Where and when is PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United played?
PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United is played on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Baharuddin Siregar, in the Liga 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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