Purmersteijn vs ACV: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Purmersteijn, Purmerend
The Footlab model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for ACV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Purmersteijn vs ACV?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Purmersteijn (1,706) and ACV (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Purmersteijn have 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; ACV have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Jul 5, 2025 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Jul 19, 2023 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TEC(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Purmersteijn score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 6; ACV score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purmersteijn | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| ACV | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Purmersteijn sit 5th in Derde Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and ACV sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ACV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Purmersteijn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Purmersteijn vs ACV?
- The Footlab model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for ACV.
- Where and when is Purmersteijn vs ACV played?
- Purmersteijn vs ACV is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Purmersteijn, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.