Sportlust '46 vs Hercules: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Cromwijck, Woerden
The Footlab AI model makes Sportlust '46 the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Hercules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sportlust '46 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportlust '46 vs Hercules?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Sportlust '46 (1,826) and Hercules (1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sportlust '46 vs Hercules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sportlust '46
3-4-2-1- 32Nordin Zoufri
- 8M. Fichtinger
- 21C. van Hussen
- 7Kesly den Haag
- 5Martijn Jansen
- 22Timo Lutters
- 23Mitchell van der Veer
- 4Fabio Helderton
- 3Coen van der Hoek
- 25Kjeld van den Hoek
- 1S. Damkalis
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportlust '46 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hercules have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Sportlust '46 wins, 1 draw, 4 Hercules wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hercules 0-0 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Sportlust '46 0-2 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hercules 1-0 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Hercules 4-0 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sportlust '46 0-2 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hercules vs Sportlust '46 on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportlust '46 score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hercules score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportlust '46 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hercules | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportlust '46 sit 7th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 11 matches) and Hercules sit 12th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Hercules | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
A question about Sportlust '46 vs Hercules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportlust '46 vs Hercules?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sportlust '46 the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Hercules.
- Where and when is Sportlust '46 vs Hercules played?
- Sportlust '46 vs Hercules is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Cromwijck, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.