Excelsior '31 vs ADO '20: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for ADO '20. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior '31 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO '20?
On Elo ratings, Excelsior '31 has 1,785 points and ADO '20 1,744.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior '31 vs ADO '20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
ADO '20
4-3-3- 26J. Helder
- 14Storm Holtkamp
- 16Eon Herman
- 6D. Boerlage
- 17L. de Wilde
- 19Jesper de Vre
- 2Mikael Schilling
- 9Levi Volkers
- 6Tom Carbaat
- 3Oscar Wilffert
- 22Virgil Deen
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior '31 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; ADO '20 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Excelsior '31 win, 0 draws, 2 ADO '20 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20 3-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Excelsior '31 2-0 ADO '20 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2025 | ADO '20 2-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: ADO '20 vs Excelsior '31 on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ADO '20 score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| ADO '20 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior '31 sit 5th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 9 matches) and ADO '20 sit 11th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 13 |
A question about Excelsior '31 vs ADO '20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior '31 vs ADO '20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for ADO '20.
- Where and when is Excelsior '31 vs ADO '20 played?
- Excelsior '31 vs ADO '20 is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Koerbelt, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.