Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Junior Sport Stadium, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes Pyunik Yerevan the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for BKMA. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA?
Pyunik Yerevan is a heavy favourite: 1,792 Elo points against 1,486 — a 306-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pyunik Yerevan have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; BKMA have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Van(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ararat(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 26, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Pyunik Yerevan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 BKMA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan 2-0 BKMA | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | BKMA 1-2 Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Pyunik Yerevan 2-1 BKMA | Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Pyunik Yerevan 1-2 BKMA | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2025 | BKMA 1-2 Pyunik Yerevan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 23, 2024 | BKMA 1-2 Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pyunik Yerevan score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; BKMA score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyunik Yerevan | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| BKMA | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pyunik Yerevan sit 4th in Premier League (7 points from 3 matches) and BKMA sit 10th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pyunik Yerevan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | BKMA | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA?
- The Footlab model makes Pyunik Yerevan the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for BKMA.
- Where and when is Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA played?
- Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Junior Sport Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.