Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK: result 5-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 3, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?
Qarabag won 5-1 on December 3, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 6′M. EmreliQarabag
- 21′S. AlxasovŞamaxı FK
- 50′F. OzobićQarabag
- 53′M. EmreliQarabag
- 55′A. ZoubirQarabag
- 77′M. EmreliQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Şamaxı FK have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2018 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-6 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Sabah FA(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Qabala(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 8, 2018 | Vorskla Poltava(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2018 | Qabala(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Sumqayıt(away) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Qarabag(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Səbail(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Qarabag win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Şamaxı FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2018 | Şamaxı FK 1-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 12, 2018 | Şamaxı FK 3-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 1, 2018 | Qarabag 1-1 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 13, 2017 | Şamaxı FK 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Qarabag 1-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Şamaxı FK score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Şamaxı FK | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Şamaxı FK sit 7th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy