Match

Qatar SC vs UMM Salal: prediction and stats

QSL CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on January 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), Doha

Qatar SCUMM Salal

The Footlab AI model makes Qatar SC the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for UMM Salal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Qatar SC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Qatar SC vs UMM Salal?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Qatar SC (1,641) and UMM Salal (1,660).

49%23%28%
Qatar SC winDrawUMM Salal win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Qatar SC vs UMM Salal

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Qatar SC

4-4-2
  1. 9João Pedro
  2. 11Y. Boli
  1. 6Pau Prim
  2. 7F. Selemani
  3. 5A. Gunnarsson
  4. 12Ibrahim Masoud
  1. 40S. F. Diouf
  2. 21Abdullah Marafee
  3. 24N. Mason
  4. 15K. Al-Obaidly
  1. 17A. N. Mahmoud

UMM Salal

4-2-3-1
  1. 17J. Kouassi
  1. 14O. Tannane
  2. 10M. Baidoo
  3. 8Salem Al Hajri
  4. 6J. Aholou
  5. 32Ahmed El Sayed
  1. 22E. Udosen
  2. 2A. Fayez
  3. 19N. Laidouni
  4. 15A. Tahif
  1. 48I. R. Hamadeh

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qatar SC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; UMM Salal have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Qatar SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Al Zawra'a(home)1-1AGCFF Gulf Champions League
Oct 9, 2026Al-Rayyan SC(home)0-3Stars League
Oct 1, 2026Al Bidda SC(home)1-0QSL Cup
Sep 20, 2026Al-Rayyan SC(away)2-2QSL Cup
Sep 12, 2026Al-Arabi SC(away)0-0Stars League
UMM Salal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Al Waab(away)1-0Second Division
Sep 29, 2026Al-Khor(away)2-0QSL Cup
Sep 21, 2026Al Kharaitiyat(home)1-0QSL Cup
Sep 7, 2026Al-Khor(home)1-5Second Division
Aug 30, 2026Al Mesaimeer(away)2-1Second Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Qatar SC wins, 4 draws, 0 UMM Salal wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2026UMM Salal 0-0 Qatar SCStars League
Dec 6, 2025Qatar SC 6-1 UMM SalalQSL Cup
Oct 26, 2025Qatar SC 2-1 UMM SalalStars League
Feb 28, 2025Qatar SC 2-2 UMM SalalStars League
Sep 27, 2024UMM Salal 2-2 Qatar SCStars League
Feb 24, 2024Qatar SC 1-1 UMM SalalStars League

Last archived meeting: UMM Salal vs Qatar SC on Mar 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Qatar SC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UMM Salal score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Qatar SC1.31.758/157/15
UMM Salal1.51.958/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Qatar SC vs UMM Salal?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Qatar SC vs UMM Salal?
The Footlab AI model makes Qatar SC the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for UMM Salal.
Where and when is Qatar SC vs UMM Salal played?
Qatar SC vs UMM Salal is played on January 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), in the QSL Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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