Qatar vs South Korea: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Doha
The Footlab AI model makes South Korea the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Qatar. The most likely score is 1-1. If South Korea wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,590 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qatar vs South Korea?
South Korea starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,761 vs 1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qatar vs South Korea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qatar
4-3-3- 11Akram Afif
- 9Y. Abdurisag
- 8Edmilson Junior
- 20Ahmed Fathi
- 19Almoez Ali
- 12Karim Boudiaf
- 2Pedro Miguel
- 13Ayoub Al Oui
- 14Homam Ahmed
- 16Boualem Khoukhi
- 1Mahmud Abunada
Known absences
Assim MadiboOut · Suspended (red card)
South Korea
4-4-2- 7Son Heung-Min
- 18Oh Hyeon-Gyu
- 19Lee Kang-In
- 16Park Jin-Seop
- 10Lee Jae-Sung
- 11Hwang Hee-Chan
- 2Lee Han-Beom
- 4Kim Min-Jae
- 22Seol Young-Woo
- 5Kim Tae-Hyeon
- 21Jo Hyeon-Woo
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qatar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; South Korea have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 0-0 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 30, 2026 | United Arab Emirates(away) | 1-1 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yemen(away) | 1-0 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Bahrain(home) | 2-0 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Uzbekistan(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Venezuela(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Uruguay(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ecuador(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 25, 2026 | South Africa(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Qatar wins, 0 draws, 2 South Korea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2020 | South Korea 2-1 Qatar | Friendlies |
| Jan 25, 2019 | South Korea 0-1 Qatar | Asian Cup |
| Jun 13, 2017 | Qatar 3-2 South Korea | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 6, 2016 | South Korea 3-2 Qatar | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
How many goals should we expect?
Qatar score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; South Korea score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| South Korea | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Qatar vs South Korea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qatar vs South Korea?
- The Footlab AI model makes South Korea the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Qatar.
- Where and when is Qatar vs South Korea played?
- Qatar vs South Korea is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Khalifa International Stadium, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.