South Korea vs Yemen: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yongin Mireu Stadium, Yongin
The Footlab model makes South Korea the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Yemen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Korea vs Yemen?
South Korea is a heavy favourite: 1,764 Elo points against 1,428, a 336-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Korea have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Yemen have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | South Africa(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Mexico(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Czechia(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 4, 2026 | El Salvador(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Lebanon(away) | 2-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Comoros(away) | 4-4 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Bhutan(home) | 7-1 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Brunei(home) | 9-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Brunei(away) | 2-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
South Korea score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yemen score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Yemen | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Korea vs Yemen?
- The Footlab model makes South Korea the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Yemen.
- Where and when is South Korea vs Yemen played?
- South Korea vs Yemen is played on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yongin Mireu Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.