QPR vs Derby: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 14, 2016 at 07:45 PM (UTC)MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Full time
What was the result of QPR vs Derby?
Derby won 0-1 on December 14, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 86′T. InceDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, QPR have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | Rotherham(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2016 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Ipswich(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Norwich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Wigan(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Norwich(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Rotherham(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Wolves(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 QPR win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | QPR 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2015 | Derby 1-0 QPR | Championship |
| May 24, 2014 | Derby 0-1 QPR | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2014 | Derby 1-0 QPR | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2013 | QPR 2-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
QPR score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
QPR sit 5th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy