QPR vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 2, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Full time
What was the result of QPR vs Derby?
QPR won 2-1 on November 2, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 11′J. JenasQPR
- 23′S. DawkinsDerby
- 63′C. HillQPR
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, QPR have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Derby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2013 | Wigan(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Burnley(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Barnsley(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | Birmingham(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Watford(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Ipswich(home) | 4-4 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
QPR score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Derby | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
QPR sit 5th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy