Queen's Park vs Morton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hampden Park, Glasgow
The Footlab model makes Queen's Park the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Morton. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Queen's Park vs Morton?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Queen's Park (1,716) and Morton (1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Queen's Park have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Morton have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Partick(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Queen's Park win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Morton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Morton 0-0 Queen's Park | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Queen's Park 3-2 Morton | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Morton 2-1 Queen's Park | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Queen's Park 0-0 Morton | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Morton 2-1 Queen's Park | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Queen's Park 1-2 Morton | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Morton vs Queen's Park on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Queen's Park score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Morton score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Morton | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Queen's Park sit 10th in Championship (0 points from 3 matches) and Morton sit 9th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Queen's Park vs Morton?
- The Footlab model makes Queen's Park the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Morton.
- Where and when is Queen's Park vs Morton played?
- Queen's Park vs Morton is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hampden Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.