Quindio vs Real Santander: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Armenia
The Footlab model makes Quindio the favourite at 74%, against 19% for a draw and 7% for Real Santander. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quindio vs Real Santander?
Quindio starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,604 vs 1,339).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quindio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Real Santander have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Depor FC(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Patriotas(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-5 | Primera B |
| May 24, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Quindio win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Santander win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Real Santander 1-2 Quindio | Primera B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Real Santander 0-1 Quindio | Primera B |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Quindio 4-2 Real Santander | Primera B |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Real Santander 0-2 Quindio | Primera B |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Quindio 4-0 Real Santander | Primera B |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Quindio 1-1 Real Santander | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Real Santander vs Quindio on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Quindio score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Santander score 0.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quindio | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Santander | 0.7 | 2.5 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quindio sit 4th in Primera B (31 points from 15 matches) and Real Santander sit 16th (7 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Quindio | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 16 | 43 |
| 10 | Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quindio vs Real Santander?
- The Footlab model makes Quindio the favourite at 74%, against 19% for a draw and 7% for Real Santander.
- Where and when is Quindio vs Real Santander played?
- Quindio vs Real Santander is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.