Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrobledo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Marcos, Quintanar del Rey
The Footlab model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Villarrobledo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrobledo?
Quintanar del Rey starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quintanar del Rey have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Villarrobledo have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villacañas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sonseca(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Quintanar del Rey win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Villarrobledo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Villarrobledo 0-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 1-0 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 3-0 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Villarrobledo 0-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Villarrobledo 1-0 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Quintanar del Rey 1-2 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Quintanar del Rey score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Villarrobledo score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Villarrobledo | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrobledo?
- The Footlab model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Villarrobledo.
- Where and when is Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrobledo played?
- Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrobledo is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Marcos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.