Rača vs Častkovce: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Štadión FK Rača, Bratislava
The Footlab model makes Rača the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Častkovce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rača vs Častkovce?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Rača (1,514) and Častkovce (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rača have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Častkovce have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bernolákovo(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nové Zámky(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | MŠK Senec(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-4 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nitra(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MŠK Senec(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Galanta(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Beluša(home) | 1-4 | 3. liga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rača win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Častkovce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rača 3-3 Častkovce | 3. liga - West |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Častkovce 1-1 Rača | 3. liga - West |
| May 17, 2025 | Častkovce 3-1 Rača | 3. liga - West |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Rača 0-0 Častkovce | 3. liga - West |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Častkovce 3-0 Rača | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Rača 1-1 Častkovce | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Rača score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Častkovce score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rača | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Častkovce | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rača sit 4th in 3. liga - West (60 points from 32 matches) and Častkovce sit 16th (26 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rača | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 16 | Častkovce | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 31 | 65 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rača vs Častkovce?
- The Footlab model makes Rača the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Častkovce.
- Where and when is Rača vs Častkovce played?
- Rača vs Častkovce is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Štadión FK Rača, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.