Racing Club vs Boca Juniors: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 6Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Boca Juniors the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Racing Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Racing Club (1,919) and Boca Juniors (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Club have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Boca Juniors have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rosario Central(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(away) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Racing Club win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Boca Juniors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Boca Juniors 0-0 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Boca Juniors 0-1 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Boca Juniors 1-1 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Racing Club 2-0 Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Racing Club 2-1 Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Boca Juniors 4-2 Racing Club | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Boca Juniors vs Racing Club on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Club score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Boca Juniors score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Boca Juniors | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Club sit 8th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 16 matches) and Boca Juniors sit 2nd (30 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 21 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?
- The Footlab model makes Boca Juniors the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Racing Club.
- Where and when is Racing Club vs Boca Juniors played?
- Racing Club vs Boca Juniors is played on August 24, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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