UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, Strossen
The Footlab AI model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-1. If UNA Strassen wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn?
UNA Strassen starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,578).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UNA Strassen
3-5-2- 90N. Perez
- 44B. Seye
- 5G. Gueye
- 28V. Steinmetz
- 11Omar Natami
- 6E. Rastoder
- 10E. Agović
- 34T. Hall
- 3K. Delorge
- 94D. Myre
- 67K. Özcan
Progres Niederkorn
4-3-3- 19Y. Bouche
- 77K. Corral
- 71F. Hoxha
- 23Clayton Duarte
- 80K. Avdusinovic
- 10Omar Natami
- 28A. Guett Guett
- 11M. Gilgemann
- 14C. Sacras
- 27V. Peugnet
- 1S. Flauss
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA Strassen have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | US Esch(away) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kopstal 33(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-0 | National Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UNA Strassen wins, 1 draw, 2 Progres Niederkorn wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 0-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNA Strassen 2-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 0-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 1-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Sep 29, 2024 | UNA Strassen 1-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Mar 17, 2024 | UNA Strassen 0-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UNA Strassen score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 2.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA Strassen sit 1st in National Division (28 points from 10 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 7th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
A question about UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab AI model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Progres Niederkorn.
- Where and when is UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsFC Differdange 03
- Feb 21, 2027US RumelangevsF91 Dudelange
- Feb 21, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Feb 21, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Feb 21, 2027US HostertvsSwift Hesperange
- Feb 21, 2027WiltzvsVictoria Rosport
- Feb 21, 2027Atert BissenvsRésidence Walferdange