UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, Strossen
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn?
UNA Strassen starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA Strassen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UNA Strassen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Progres Niederkorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 0-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNA Strassen 2-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 0-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 1-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Sep 29, 2024 | UNA Strassen 1-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Mar 17, 2024 | UNA Strassen 0-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA Strassen sit 1st in National Division (12 points from 4 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Progres Niederkorn.
- Where and when is UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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