US Mondorf-les-bains vs AS Jeunesse Esch: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade John Grün, Mondorf-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for AS Jeunesse Esch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
US Mondorf-les-bains starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Mondorf-les-bains have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; AS Jeunesse Esch have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(home) | 1-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Berdenia Berbourg(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 AS Jeunesse Esch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch 1-3 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-1 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | AS Jeunesse Esch 2-0 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| May 25, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 4-1 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2024 | AS Jeunesse Esch 1-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Mar 17, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-2 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
Last archived meeting: AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-les-bains on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AS Jeunesse Esch score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and AS Jeunesse Esch sit 13th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Mondorf-les-bains vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for AS Jeunesse Esch.
- Where and when is US Mondorf-les-bains vs AS Jeunesse Esch played?
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs AS Jeunesse Esch is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade John Grün, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsFC Differdange 03
- Feb 21, 2027US RumelangevsF91 Dudelange
- Feb 21, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Feb 21, 2027UNA StrassenvsProgres Niederkorn
- Feb 21, 2027US HostertvsSwift Hesperange
- Feb 21, 2027WiltzvsVictoria Rosport
- Feb 21, 2027Atert BissenvsRésidence Walferdange