Racing Mechelen vs Tongeren: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Oscar Vankesbeeck Stadion, Mechelen
The Footlab model makes Racing Mechelen the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Tongeren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Mechelen vs Tongeren?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Racing Mechelen (1,755) and Tongeren (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Mechelen have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tongeren have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rupel Boom(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hades(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bocholt(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sint-Truiden II(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Eendracht Termien(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Berchem Sport(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rupel Boom(away) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Eendracht Termien(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Racing Mechelen win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Tongeren win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Racing Mechelen 1-1 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tongeren 1-1 Racing Mechelen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Racing Mechelen 3-0 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Tongeren 1-2 Racing Mechelen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Racing Mechelen 1-1 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Tongeren 2-0 Racing Mechelen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Racing Mechelen vs Tongeren on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tongeren score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tongeren | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Mechelen sit 6th in Second Amateur Division - VFV B (46 points from 30 matches) and Tongeren sit 11th (32 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Racing Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 47 | 45 | 46 |
| 11 | Tongeren | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Mechelen vs Tongeren?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Mechelen the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Tongeren.
- Where and when is Racing Mechelen vs Tongeren played?
- Racing Mechelen vs Tongeren is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Oscar Vankesbeeck Stadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.