Rupel Boom vs Wilrijk: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gemeentelijk Parkstadion, Boom
The Footlab model makes Rupel Boom the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Wilrijk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rupel Boom vs Wilrijk?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Rupel Boom (1,863) and Wilrijk (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rupel Boom have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Wilrijk have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Londerzeel(home) | 2-3 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Mechelen II(away) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Mechelen(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2025 | RESC Houffaloise(home) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Zonhoven United(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Beerschot VA(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Rupel Boom score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wilrijk score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rupel Boom | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Wilrijk | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rupel Boom | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 65 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rupel Boom vs Wilrijk?
- The Footlab model makes Rupel Boom the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Wilrijk.
- Where and when is Rupel Boom vs Wilrijk played?
- Rupel Boom vs Wilrijk is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gemeentelijk Parkstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.