Råde vs Lillehammer: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Råde the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Lillehammer. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Råde vs Lillehammer?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Råde (1,689) and Lillehammer (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Råde have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lillehammer have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Follo(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Raelingen(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bjørkelangen(home) | 8-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(away) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 2-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lyn II(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Raelingen(away) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Råde win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lillehammer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Lillehammer 8-1 Råde | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Råde score 3.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lillehammer score 3.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Råde | 3.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Lillehammer | 3.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Råde sit 3rd in 3. Division - Girone 6 (32 points from 16 matches) and Lillehammer sit 1st (41 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 21 | 41 |
| 3 | Råde | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 60 | 29 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Råde vs Lillehammer?
- The Footlab model makes Råde the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Lillehammer.
- Where and when is Råde vs Lillehammer played?
- Råde vs Lillehammer is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.