Bjørkelangen vs Drøbak / Frogn: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bjørkelangen kunstgress, Bjørkelangen
The Footlab model makes Drøbak / Frogn the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Bjørkelangen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bjørkelangen vs Drøbak / Frogn?
Drøbak / Frogn starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,407).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bjørkelangen have 1 wins, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Drøbak / Frogn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandefjord II(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oppsal(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Råde(away) | 1-8 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fram(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(away) | 1-6 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Råde(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sandefjord II(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lillehammer(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brumunddal(home) | 7-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bjørkelangen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Drøbak / Frogn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn 3-0 Bjørkelangen | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Drøbak / Frogn vs Bjørkelangen on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bjørkelangen score 0.7 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Drøbak / Frogn score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjørkelangen | 0.7 | 3.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Drøbak / Frogn | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bjørkelangen sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 6 (3 points from 16 matches) and Drøbak / Frogn sit 9th (22 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Drøbak / Frogn | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 22 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 56 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bjørkelangen vs Drøbak / Frogn?
- The Footlab model makes Drøbak / Frogn the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Bjørkelangen.
- Where and when is Bjørkelangen vs Drøbak / Frogn played?
- Bjørkelangen vs Drøbak / Frogn is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bjørkelangen kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.