Rågsved vs Haninge: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 20Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Hagsätra IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Rågsved the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Haninge. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rågsved vs Haninge?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Rågsved (1,501) and Haninge (1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rågsved have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Haninge have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sleipner(home) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fittja(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Syrianska FC(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Farsta(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Forward(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyköping(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlslund(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farsta(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Fittja(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Rågsved win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Haninge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haninge 2-2 Rågsved | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Haninge 1-3 Rågsved | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Rågsved 0-1 Haninge | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Rågsved score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Haninge score 2.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rågsved | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Haninge | 2.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rågsved sit 7th in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (21 points from 12 matches) and Haninge sit 6th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Haninge | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 33 |
| 6 | Haninge | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 22 |
| 7 | Rågsved | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 21 |
| 8 | Rågsved | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rågsved vs Haninge?
- The Footlab model makes Rågsved the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Haninge.
- Where and when is Rågsved vs Haninge played?
- Rågsved vs Haninge is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Hagsätra IP, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.