Rakow II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Rakow II the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rakow II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Rakow II (1,676) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Rakow II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 4-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rakow II score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 7; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakow II | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0 | 5/7 | 6/7 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rakow II sit 18th in III Liga - Group 3 (1 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | Rakow II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rakow II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
- The Footlab model makes Rakow II the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
- Where and when is Rakow II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?
- Rakow II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsStilon Gorzów
- Aug 28, 2026Carina GubinvsBarycz Sułów
- Aug 28, 2026KluczborkvsStal Brzeg
- Aug 29, 2026Sparta KatowicevsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Aug 29, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Aug 29, 2026Warta GorzówvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Aug 29, 2026SłowianinvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Aug 29, 2026ROW RybnikvsGórnik Polkowice