Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?

Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice

Sparta Katowice

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,710).

Sparta Katowice win59 %

Draw22 %

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Stilon Gorzów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carina Gubin(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026	Tychy 71(away)	0-1	Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sparta Katowice	1.9	0.9	6	8/15	9/15
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1.2	1.5	5	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	5	3	1	1	10	5	10
5	Sparta Katowice	5	3	1	1	8	4	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?: The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?: Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.