Match

Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Warta GorzówZagłębie Lubin II

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Zagłębie Lubin II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774).

Warta Gorzów win46 %
Draw24 %
Zagłębie Lubin II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zagłębie Lubin II have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Górnik Polkowice(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Carina Gubin(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-5III Liga - Group 3
Zagłębie Lubin II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)3-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Kluczbork(away)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026Rakow II(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Polonia Nysa(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Katowice(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 15, 2026Warta Gorzów 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 31, 2025Zagłębie Lubin II 3-0 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
May 7, 2022Warta Gorzów 1-0 Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 2, 2021Zagłębie Lubin II 5-0 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
Apr 24, 2021Warta Gorzów 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 12, 2020Zagłębie Lubin II 1-2 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II on May 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Gorzów0.91.467/157/15
Zagłębie Lubin II1.72.0210/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Zagłębie Lubin II532011711
10Warta Gorzów5221688

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Zagłębie Lubin II.
Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?
Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Gorzów and Zagłębie Lubin II

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