Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Zagłębie Lubin II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zagłębie Lubin II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Zagłębie Lubin II 3-0 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 7, 2022 | Warta Gorzów 1-0 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Zagłębie Lubin II 5-0 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Warta Gorzów 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Zagłębie Lubin II 1-2 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Zagłębie Lubin II.
- Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?
- Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsStilon Gorzów
- Aug 28, 2026Carina GubinvsBarycz Sułów
- Aug 28, 2026KluczborkvsStal Brzeg
- Aug 29, 2026Sparta KatowicevsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Aug 29, 2026Rakow IIvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Aug 29, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Aug 29, 2026Polonia NysavsŚlęza Wrocław
- Aug 29, 2026SłowianinvsGoczałkowice Zdrój