Ramsgate vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)WW Martin Community Stadium, Ramsgate, Kent
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Ramsgate. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ramsgate vs Aveley?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Ramsgate (1,823) and Aveley (1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ramsgate have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Canvey Island(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ramsgate win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aveley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ramsgate 1-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Aveley 5-0 Ramsgate | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
How many goals should we expect?
Ramsgate score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramsgate | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ramsgate sit 11th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Ramsgate | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ramsgate vs Aveley?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Ramsgate.
- Where and when is Ramsgate vs Aveley played?
- Ramsgate vs Aveley is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at WW Martin Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026DartfordvsEastbourne Borough
- Nov 7, 2026St Albans CityvsWelling United
- Nov 7, 2026Three BridgesvsBrentwood Town
- Nov 7, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsCheshunt
- Nov 7, 2026Cray WanderersvsLeatherhead
- Nov 7, 2026Enfield TownvsWhyteleafe
- Nov 7, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Nov 7, 2026Dulwich HamletvsLewes