St Albans City vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Clarence Park, St. Albans, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for St Albans City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St Albans City vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate St Albans City (1,762) and Welling United (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Albans City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St Albans City win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Welling United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Welling United 0-0 St Albans City | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 18, 2025 | St Albans City 2-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Welling United 1-1 St Albans City | National League - South |
| Oct 19, 2024 | St Albans City 0-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Feb 24, 2024 | St Albans City 1-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Welling United 0-0 St Albans City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs St Albans City on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Albans City | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St Albans City sit 13th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 | St Albans City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St Albans City vs Welling United?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for St Albans City.
- Where and when is St Albans City vs Welling United played?
- St Albans City vs Welling United is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Clarence Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.