Rana vs Hønefoss: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nye Sagbakken Stadion, Mo i Rana
The Footlab model makes Hønefoss the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Rana. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rana vs Hønefoss?
Hønefoss starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rana have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hønefoss have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stalkam(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stalkam(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Follo(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 2-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 2-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ull/Kisa(home) | 9-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Rana win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hønefoss win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Hønefoss 2-1 Rana | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Rana 1-0 Hønefoss | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Hønefoss 4-2 Rana | 2. Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rana score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hønefoss score 2.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rana | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Hønefoss | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rana sit 9th in 2. Division - Group 2 (20 points from 15 matches) and Hønefoss sit 4th (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hønefoss | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 24 | 32 |
| 9 | Rana | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rana vs Hønefoss?
- The Footlab model makes Hønefoss the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Rana.
- Where and when is Rana vs Hønefoss played?
- Rana vs Hønefoss is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nye Sagbakken Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.