Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadion, Wien
The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for TSV Hartberg. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Rapid Vienna (2,022) and TSV Hartberg (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapid Vienna have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; TSV Hartberg have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 8-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paide(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ried(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Paide(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Imst(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rapid Vienna win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 TSV Hartberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 0-2 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | TSV Hartberg 2-2 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 1-1 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | TSV Hartberg 0-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TSV Hartberg 2-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Rapid Vienna 2-1 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rapid Vienna score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSV Hartberg score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| TSV Hartberg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapid Vienna sit 1st in Bundesliga (9 points from 3 matches) and TSV Hartberg sit 10th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | TSV Hartberg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for TSV Hartberg.
- Where and when is Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg played?
- Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.