Ried vs Austria Vienna: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab AI model makes Ried the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Austria Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ried wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried vs Austria Vienna?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Ried (2,023) and Austria Vienna (2,052).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ried vs Austria Vienna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ried
4-2-3-1- 47Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
- 12A. Bajić
- 22S. Schwab
- 6Y. Maart
- 8M. Rasner
- 11J. Rhodes
- 30O. Steurer
- 28S. Chukwudi
- 17P. Pomer
- 18F. Rossdorfer
- 1A. Leitner
Austria Vienna
3-4-2-1- 19J. Eggestein
- 26R. Ranftl
- 30M. Fischer
- 5V. Müller
- 40Daniel Nnodim
- 6Philipp Maybach
- 10S. Saljic
- 15A. Dragović
- 46J. Handl
- 3I. Buhari
- 1S. Şahin-Radlinger
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Austria Vienna have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SKU Amstetten(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Traiskirchen(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ried win, 0 draws, 5 Austria Vienna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Ried 0-2 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Austria Vienna 3-2 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Ried 1-3 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Austria Vienna 3-0 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Austria Vienna 4-1 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Ried 2-1 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Ried vs Austria Vienna on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ried score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Vienna score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Austria Vienna | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried sit 5th in Bundesliga (11 points from 8 matches) and Austria Vienna sit 10th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Ried vs Austria Vienna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried vs Austria Vienna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ried the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Austria Vienna.
- Where and when is Ried vs Austria Vienna played?
- Ried vs Austria Vienna is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.