Ried vs Austria Vienna: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab model makes Ried the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Austria Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried vs Austria Vienna?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Ried (1,916) and Austria Vienna (1,990).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Austria Vienna have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ried win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Austria Vienna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Ried 0-2 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Austria Vienna 3-2 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Ried 1-3 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Austria Vienna 3-0 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Austria Vienna 4-1 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Ried 2-1 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Ried vs Austria Vienna on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ried score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Vienna score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Austria Vienna | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried sit 7th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and Austria Vienna sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried vs Austria Vienna?
- The Footlab model makes Ried the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Austria Vienna.
- Where and when is Ried vs Austria Vienna played?
- Ried vs Austria Vienna is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.