Rapperswil vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportstadion Grünfeld, Jona
The Footlab model makes Rapperswil the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Neuchatel Xamax FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapperswil vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Rapperswil (1,796) and Neuchatel Xamax FC (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapperswil have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Neuchatel Xamax FC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Winterthur(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 6-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 4-5 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 0-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 3-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rapperswil win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Neuchatel Xamax FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Rapperswil 2-3 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 3-2 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 2-1 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Rapperswil 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| May 18, 2018 | Rapperswil 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 1-0 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Rapperswil vs Neuchatel Xamax FC on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rapperswil score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Neuchatel Xamax FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapperswil | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapperswil sit 8th in Challenge League (3 points from 4 matches) and Neuchatel Xamax FC sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Rapperswil | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapperswil vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
- The Footlab model makes Rapperswil the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Neuchatel Xamax FC.
- Where and when is Rapperswil vs Neuchatel Xamax FC played?
- Rapperswil vs Neuchatel Xamax FC is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportstadion Grünfeld, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.