FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
The Footlab AI model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for FC Aarau. The most likely score is 1-1. If Yverdon Sport wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
On Elo ratings, FC Aarau has 1,786 points and Yverdon Sport 1,872.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Aarau
4-3-3- 18D. Afriyie
- 7M. Guindo
- 11H. Koide
- 6I. Aliu
- 20K. Ndau
- 80A. Beka Beka
- 2M. Thaler
- 29M. Dickenmann
- 31V. Petit
- 3R. Guzzo
- 30A. Hirzel
Yverdon Sport
3-5-1-1- 11E. Pasche
- 66M. Okuka
- 24B. Toma
- 4O. Doumbia
- 10V. Fazliu
- 8A. Chappuis
- 80E. Bruchez
- 18V. Kongsro
- 32A. Sauthier
- 5J. Gnakpa
- 1S. Enzler
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Aarau have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Yverdon Sport have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 3-1 | Challenge League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(home) | 2-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 2-3 | Challenge League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 5-2 | Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Old Boys(away) | 2-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Grasshoppers(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Aarau wins, 2 draws, 2 Yverdon Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yverdon Sport 2-1 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
| May 15, 2026 | FC Aarau 2-2 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Yverdon Sport 1-2 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Yverdon Sport 1-2 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | FC Aarau 1-2 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| May 23, 2023 | Yverdon Sport 1-1 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Yverdon Sport vs FC Aarau on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Aarau score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yverdon Sport score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Aarau | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Yverdon Sport | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Aarau sit 6th in Challenge League (15 points from 13 matches) and Yverdon Sport sit 3rd (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Aarau | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
A question about FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for FC Aarau.
- Where and when is FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport played?
- FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Brügglifeld, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.