FC WIL 1900 vs Étoile Carouge: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lidl Arena, Wil
The Footlab AI model makes FC WIL 1900 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Étoile Carouge. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC WIL 1900 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,774 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC WIL 1900 vs Étoile Carouge?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate FC WIL 1900 (1,699) and Étoile Carouge (1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC WIL 1900 vs Étoile Carouge
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC WIL 1900
4-3-3- 25X. Aliu
- 9Mahamadou Diarra
- 14L. Breedijk
- 10N. Rupp
- 13D. Kaïba
- 17T. Staubli
- 15Y. Schmid
- 21P. Sutter
- 19L. Schreiber
- 23Isaiah Okafor
- 1G. Muslija
Étoile Carouge
4-1-4-1- 76Itaitinga
- 8R. Alves
- 77T. Escorza
- 21M. Holcbecher
- 6M. El Jaouhari
- 10B. Caslei
- 4I. Strohbach
- 24M. Dubosson
- 3F. Hoxha
- 25V. Felder
- 23Lionel Huwiler
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC WIL 1900 have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Étoile Carouge have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 3-0 | Challenge League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Winterthur(home) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bulle(away) | 1-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 1-4 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC WIL 1900 win, 3 draws, 2 Étoile Carouge wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Étoile Carouge 1-1 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Étoile Carouge 2-0 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC WIL 1900 1-3 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Étoile Carouge 0-0 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Aug 8, 2025 | FC WIL 1900 1-0 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | FC WIL 1900 2-2 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC WIL 1900 score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile Carouge score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC WIL 1900 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Étoile Carouge | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC WIL 1900 sit 7th in Challenge League (14 points from 13 matches) and Étoile Carouge sit 8th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC WIL 1900 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 27 | 14 |
| 8 | Étoile Carouge | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 13 |
A question about FC WIL 1900 vs Étoile Carouge?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC WIL 1900 vs Étoile Carouge?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC WIL 1900 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Étoile Carouge.
- Where and when is FC WIL 1900 vs Étoile Carouge played?
- FC WIL 1900 vs Étoile Carouge is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lidl Arena, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.