Ratchaburi vs Buriram United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ratchaburi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?
Buriram United starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ratchaburi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Buriram United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 6-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ratchaburi win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Buriram United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ratchaburi 2-2 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Buriram United 2-0 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Ratchaburi 3-2 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Buriram United 6-0 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Ratchaburi 1-4 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Buriram United 0-0 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ratchaburi vs Buriram United on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ratchaburi score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratchaburi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ratchaburi sit 3rd in Thai League 1 (59 points from 30 matches) and Buriram United sit 1st (70 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 31 | 70 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 30 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ratchaburi.
- Where and when is Ratchaburi vs Buriram United played?
- Ratchaburi vs Buriram United is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dragon Solar Park, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.