Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
The Footlab model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Chiangrai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United?
Ratchaburi starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ratchaburi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chiangrai United have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 6-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Uthai Thani(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ratchaburi win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chiangrai United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chiangrai United 1-0 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Ratchaburi 1-2 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Chiangrai United 1-2 Ratchaburi | League Cup |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Chiangrai United 0-1 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Ratchaburi 1-0 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Chiangrai United 1-0 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ratchaburi score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangrai United score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratchaburi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Chiangrai United | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ratchaburi sit 3rd in Thai League 1 (59 points from 30 matches) and Chiangrai United sit 7th (40 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 30 | 59 |
| 7 | Chiangrai United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 37 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United?
- The Footlab model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Chiangrai United.
- Where and when is Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United played?
- Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai United is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dragon Solar Park, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.