Buriram United vs Pattani: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Chang Arena, Buriram
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Pattani. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buriram United vs Pattani?
Buriram United is a heavy favourite: 1,965 Elo points against 1,556 — a 409-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buriram United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pattani have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Chainat(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Buriram United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pattani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Pattani 0-3 Buriram United | League Cup |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Buriram United 4-0 Pattani | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Pattani vs Buriram United on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pattani score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Pattani | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 31 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buriram United vs Pattani?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Pattani.
- Where and when is Buriram United vs Pattani played?
- Buriram United vs Pattani is played on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Chang Arena, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.