Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uthai Thani Province Stadium, Uthai Thani
The Footlab model makes Uthai Thani the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Rayong FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Uthai Thani (1,628) and Rayong FC (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uthai Thani have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Rayong FC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-6 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Uthai Thani win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rayong FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani 4-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Rayong FC 2-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Rayong FC 2-3 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Uthai Thani 3-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Uthai Thani 1-0 Rayong FC | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Rayong FC 1-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uthai Thani score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Rayong FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uthai Thani sit 11th in Thai League 1 (31 points from 30 matches) and Rayong FC sit 9th (37 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | 37 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC?
- The Footlab model makes Uthai Thani the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Rayong FC.
- Where and when is Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC played?
- Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC is played on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uthai Thani Province Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.