Bangkok United vs Pattani: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Thammasat Stadium, Pathum Thani
The Footlab model makes Bangkok United the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Pattani. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangkok United vs Pattani?
Bangkok United starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangkok United have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Pattani have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Chainat(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bangkok United score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pattani score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangkok United | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Pattani | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bangkok United | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangkok United vs Pattani?
- The Footlab model makes Bangkok United the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Pattani.
- Where and when is Bangkok United vs Pattani played?
- Bangkok United vs Pattani is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Thammasat Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.