Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Cala Pozuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano IICala Pozuelo

The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Cala Pozuelo?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,718) and Cala Pozuelo (1,707).

Rayo Vallecano II win39 %
Draw27 %
Cala Pozuelo win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Cala Pozuelo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Socuéllamos(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Intercity(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026Elche II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Cala Pozuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Alcorcón II(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 4, 2025Galapagar(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025Torrejón(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 17, 2025Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2025RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rayo Vallecano II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cala Pozuelo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2025Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Cala PozueloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 17, 2024Cala Pozuelo 2-3 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Cala Pozuelo on Mar 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II0.62.316/1510/15
Cala Pozuelo1.41.337/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Cala Pozuelo?
The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Cala Pozuelo.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Cala Pozuelo played?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Cala Pozuelo is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rayo Vallecano II and Cala Pozuelo

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