Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano IIUnión Adarve

The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Adarve wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve?

Unión Adarve starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,701).

30%26%44%
Rayo Vallecano II winDrawUnión Adarve win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rayo Vallecano II

4-3-3
  1. EE. Eto'o Pineda
  2. SSergio Alonso
  3. PPablo Prieto
  1. 19Aitor González
  2. JJuanchi
  3. JJuan Ybarra
  1. DDiego Robles
  2. ÁÁlvaro Baladía
  3. VVíctor Revuelto
  4. 26Marco de las Sías
  1. 30Juanpe

Unión Adarve

Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Unión Adarve have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026SS Reyes II(away)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Galapagar(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Leganés II(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Móstoles(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Torrejón(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Rayo Vallecano II wins, 0 draws, 1 Unión Adarve win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2021Rayo Vallecano II 1-0 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 6, 2020Unión Adarve 3-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 24, 2019Rayo Vallecano II 2-1 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve on Mar 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II0.92.237/1510/15
Unión Adarve1.91.166/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rayo Vallecano II sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (4 points from 6 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Unión Adarve733112912
16Rayo Vallecano II61147134

A question about Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve?
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve played?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Unión Adarve is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Rayo Vallecano II and Unión Adarve

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