Las Rozas vs Leganés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Las Rozas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Leganés II?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,781) and Leganés II (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Rozas win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leganés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Leganés II 1-0 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Las Rozas 2-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Leganés II 1-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Las Rozas 2-4 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 25, 2024 | Leganés II 4-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 19, 2024 | Las Rozas 1-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Las Rozas on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Leganés II sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganés II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Leganés II?
- The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Las Rozas.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Leganés II played?
- Las Rozas vs Leganés II is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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