Match

Las Rozas vs Leganés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid

Las RozasLeganés II

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Las Rozas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Rozas vs Leganés II?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,781) and Leganés II (1,800).

Las Rozas win33 %
Draw25 %
Leganés II win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Tres Cantos(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Rozas win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leganés II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Leganés II 1-0 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 16, 2025Las Rozas 2-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025Leganés II 1-2 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 15, 2024Las Rozas 2-4 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 25, 2024Leganés II 4-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 19, 2024Las Rozas 1-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs

Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Las Rozas on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15
Leganés II1.71.6310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Leganés II sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Las Rozas3416810584256
5Leganés II34151010633355

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Leganés II?
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Las Rozas.
Where and when is Las Rozas vs Leganés II played?
Las Rozas vs Leganés II is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Las Rozas and Leganés II

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