Rayong FC vs Buriram United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WHA Rayong Stadium, Rayong
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Rayong FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayong FC vs Buriram United?
Buriram United is a heavy favourite: 1,965 Elo points against 1,630, a 335-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayong FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Buriram United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-6 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rayong FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Buriram United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Rayong FC 3-0 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Buriram United 2-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Buriram United 2-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Rayong FC 1-1 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 12, 2022 | Rayong FC 0-2 Buriram United | League Cup |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Rayong FC 0-5 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Rayong FC vs Buriram United on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayong FC sit 9th in Thai League 1 (37 points from 30 matches) and Buriram United sit 1st (70 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 31 | 70 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayong FC vs Buriram United?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Rayong FC.
- Where and when is Rayong FC vs Buriram United played?
- Rayong FC vs Buriram United is played on February 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WHA Rayong Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.