Réal Bamako vs ASKO: prediction and stats
Première DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisports Modibo Keïta, Bamako
The Footlab AI model makes Réal Bamako the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for ASKO. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Réal Bamako vs ASKO?
Réal Bamako starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,580).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Réal Bamako vs ASKO
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Réal Bamako
4-2-3-1- 26Moussa Koffi Koné
- 7Cheickna Ahmadou Hamadou Layhi Allahou Diakité
- 6T. Traore
- 19Nouhoum Cisse
- 6Makan Samabaly
- 11Ibourahima Sidibé
- 14Drissa Diarra
- 24Yaya Sangare
- 15Fousseyni Koné
- 3Boubacar Traoré
- 16Germain Berthé
ASKO
Not enough data to predict the ASKO lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Réal Bamako have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; ASKO have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako(home) | 0-1 | Première Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 3-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 0-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Derby Academie(home) | 2-3 | Première Division |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Djoliba(home) | 1-3 | Première Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(away) | 3-5 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Derby Academie(home) | 2-0 | Première Division |
| May 31, 2026 | Réal Bamako(home) | 1-0 | Première Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Réal Bamako wins, 2 draws, 2 ASKO wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | ASKO 1-0 Réal Bamako | Première Division |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Réal Bamako 1-1 ASKO | Première Division |
| May 15, 2025 | ASKO 1-1 Réal Bamako | Première Division |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Réal Bamako 1-0 ASKO | Première Division |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ASKO 1-0 Réal Bamako | Première Division |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Réal Bamako 1-0 ASKO | Première Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Réal Bamako score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; ASKO score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Réal Bamako | 1.2 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| ASKO | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Réal Bamako sit 13th in Première Division (0 points from 1 match) and ASKO sit 11th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | ASKO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Réal Bamako | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Réal Bamako vs ASKO?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Réal Bamako vs ASKO?
- The Footlab AI model makes Réal Bamako the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for ASKO.
- Where and when is Réal Bamako vs ASKO played?
- Réal Bamako vs ASKO is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Omnisports Modibo Keïta, in the Première Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.