Stade Malien Bamako vs Diarra: prediction and stats
Première DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Malien Bamako the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Diarra. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Malien Bamako vs Diarra?
Stade Malien Bamako starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,646).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stade Malien Bamako vs Diarra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stade Malien Bamako
4-4-2- 10D. Coulibaly
- 7Ousmane Coulibaly
- 8H. Mandjan
- 11M. Diallo
- 32G. Asamoah
- 31L. Bagayoko
- 5B. Diarra
- 28A. Bode
- 2D. Traore
- 15B. Hama
- 1N. Traore
Diarra
Not enough data to predict the Diarra lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Malien Bamako have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Diarra have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Réal Bamako(away) | 1-0 | Première Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Colombe(home) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Colombe(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Diarra(away) | 2-0 | Première Division |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Binga(home) | 2-1 | Première Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Djoliba(home) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | ASC Kara(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | ASC Kara(home) | 3-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nations(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Stade Malien Bamako wins, 0 draws, 1 Diarra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Diarra 0-2 Stade Malien Bamako | Première Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 Diarra | Première Division |
| May 15, 2025 | Diarra 0-3 Stade Malien Bamako | Première Division |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Stade Malien Bamako 1-2 Diarra | Première Division |
Last archived meeting: Diarra vs Stade Malien Bamako on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Malien Bamako score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Diarra score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Malien Bamako | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Diarra | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Malien Bamako sit 4th in Première Division (3 points from 1 match) and Diarra sit 7th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stade Malien Bamako | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Diarra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Stade Malien Bamako vs Diarra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Malien Bamako vs Diarra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stade Malien Bamako the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Diarra.
- Where and when is Stade Malien Bamako vs Diarra played?
- Stade Malien Bamako vs Diarra is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade 26 Mars, in the Première Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.