US Bougouba vs Bakaridjan: prediction and stats
Première DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Bakaridjan the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for US Bougouba. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Bougouba vs Bakaridjan?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate US Bougouba (1,587) and Bakaridjan (1,636).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for US Bougouba vs Bakaridjan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
US Bougouba
Not enough data to predict the US Bougouba lineup.
Bakaridjan
Not enough data to predict the Bakaridjan lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Bougouba have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bakaridjan have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | AS Kayes(away) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Réal Bamako(away) | 0-4 | Première Division |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Diarra(home) | 2-6 | Première Division |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Binga(away) | 1-0 | Première Division |
| May 31, 2026 | Bakaridjan(home) | 1-1 | Première Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(home) | 2-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bougouni(home) | 4-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Onze Créateurs(away) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako(home) | 0-2 | Première Division |
| May 31, 2026 | US Bougouba(away) | 1-1 | Première Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 US Bougouba win, 3 draws, 2 Bakaridjan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | US Bougouba 1-1 Bakaridjan | Première Division |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Bakaridjan 1-1 US Bougouba | Première Division |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Bakaridjan 2-0 US Bougouba | Première Division |
| Feb 18, 2025 | US Bougouba 3-1 Bakaridjan | Première Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Bakaridjan 2-0 US Bougouba | Première Division |
| Dec 10, 2023 | US Bougouba 0-0 Bakaridjan | Première Division |
Last archived meeting: US Bougouba vs Bakaridjan on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Bougouba score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bakaridjan score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Bougouba | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Bakaridjan | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Bougouba sit 6th in Première Division (1 point from 1 match) and Bakaridjan sit 3rd (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bakaridjan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | US Bougouba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about US Bougouba vs Bakaridjan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Bougouba vs Bakaridjan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bakaridjan the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for US Bougouba.
- Where and when is US Bougouba vs Bakaridjan played?
- US Bougouba vs Bakaridjan is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Première Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.