Real Estelí vs Managua: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 14Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Independencia, Estelí
The Footlab AI model makes Managua the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Real Estelí. The most likely score is 1-1. If Managua wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Estelí vs Managua?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Real Estelí (1,647) and Managua (1,665).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Estelí vs Managua
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Estelí
4-1-4-1- 12W. Talavera
- 6A. Colombino
- 28R. Blanco
- 7B. Bonilla
- 11J. Barrera
- 21E. Casado
- 23Ó. Acevedo
- 19E. Martínez
- 27J. Quijano
- 4M. Fletes
- 1J. Faust
Managua
Not enough data to predict the Managua lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Estelí have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Managua have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Walter Ferretti(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Jalapa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Matagalpa(away) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 8, 2026 | UNAN Managua(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Managua(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Matagalpa(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jalapa(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rancho Santana(away) | 6-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Real Estelí(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Walter Ferretti(away) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Estelí wins, 1 draw, 2 Managua wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Managua 1-1 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Real Estelí 2-1 Managua | Primera Division |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Managua 0-2 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Managua 0-2 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Real Estelí 0-2 Managua | Primera Division |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Managua 2-1 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Managua vs Real Estelí on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Estelí score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Managua score 3.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estelí | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Managua | 3.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Estelí sit 4th in Primera Division (22 points from 13 matches) and Managua sit 1st (35 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 35 |
| 4 | Real Estelí | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 22 |
A question about Real Estelí vs Managua?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Estelí vs Managua?
- The Footlab AI model makes Managua the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Real Estelí.
- Where and when is Real Estelí vs Managua played?
- Real Estelí vs Managua is played on October 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Independencia, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.