Real Garcilaso vs Defensor LA Bocana: result 4-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónLiguilla - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2016 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Full time
What was the result of Real Garcilaso vs Defensor LA Bocana?
Real Garcilaso won 4-2 on August 28, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 28′M. ValverdeReal Garcilaso
- 29′W. CosmeReal Garcilaso
- 45′S. AponteDefensor LA Bocana
- 71′M. ValverdeReal Garcilaso
- 82′R. ReañosDefensor LA Bocana (pen.)
- 84′J. VillamarínReal Garcilaso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Garcilaso have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Defensor LA Bocana have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2016 | Juan Aurich(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2016 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 30, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2016 | U. San Martin(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2016 | Cesar Vallejo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2016 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Garcilaso win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Defensor LA Bocana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2016 | Real Garcilaso 4-1 Defensor LA Bocana | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2016 | Defensor LA Bocana 5-0 Real Garcilaso | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Real Garcilaso vs Defensor LA Bocana on Jul 17, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Real Garcilaso score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor LA Bocana score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Garcilaso | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Defensor LA Bocana | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy